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Week 33 Results | 29W-24L-2P | +0.246 Units Profit

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@costanza
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This is a weekly overview of my personal sports trading results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League documenting my journey toward long-term profit with some insights on my overall approach.

Week 33 was a real roller coaster goin all the way down first losing over 3 units to ride all the way up to end with a slight profit at the end which I can't complain about. Right now on the season after 1361 bets I'm at +2.7% ROI which is very similar to the last 2 seasons where I went +2.48% in 2019-2020 and +2.47% in 2018-2019. I still believe it is possible to do a bit better which is what I'm constantly working toward. The markets certainly aren't getting more soft with lines most of the times being razor-sharp leaving a choice between betting what makes sense and being brave taking the less obvious choices. Finding this balance is quite a challenge but it also is one I love to tackle week by week.

Still some regression to the mean when it comes down to the pre-game bets from the previews going 3W-3L-1P for a small loss and especially the Club Brugge +0 on full time I have no clue how that was able to lose. Still +10.12% on the season after 221 bets so pretty solid.


No official bigger bets this week shared on Copytip or the SBC Discord Channel and I will most likely call it a season there looking forward to reboot these in 2021-2022 once the entire covid situation is over and fans will be in the stadium again.

Copytip /Discord Bets Season 2020-2021

14/03/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 2.720 (0-2 69') FT 1-2 LOST 11/12/2020 Racing Genk +0 @ 1.945 FT 1-0 LOST 01/11/2020 Antwerp +0 @ 2.500 FT 1-0 LOST 03/10/2020 OHL vs Zulte 1H U 1.25 @ 1.989 HT 1-0 HALF WON 30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON 22/08/2020 Zulte Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 WON

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I'm still ranging below the expected profit line and need around 2 units profit in the last week of the regular season to get there. This won't be anything that affects my betting though as I will just do the exact same thing I have done all season long.


Previous Personal Results 2020-2021

Week 33 Results 55 Bets | 29W-24L-02P | Staked 15.644u | +0.246u Profit Week 32 Results 30 Bets | 12W-15L-03P | Staked 08.768u | -3.122u Loss.. Week 31 Results 43 Bets | 24W-14L-05P | Staked 12.208u | +0.348u Profit Week 30 Results 58 Bets | 23W-31L-04P | Staked 13.854u | -2.152u Loss.. Week 29 Results 55 Bets | 27W-23L-05P | Staked 11.674u | +0.832u Profit Week 28 Results 44 Bets | 20W-17L-07P | Staked 12.872u | +1.872u Profit Week 27 Results 47 Bets | 23W-19L-05P | Staked 13.134u | +0.902u Profit Week 26 Results 25 Bets | 14W-10L-01P | Staked 05.482u | +1.702u Profit Week 25 Results 25 Bets | 12W-11L-02P | Staked 05.706u | +0.878u Profit Week 24 Results 22 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 06.194u | +1.250u Profit Week 23 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.728u | -0.806u Loss.. Week 22 Results 32 Bets | 15W-14L-03P | Staked 08.086u | -0.494u Loss.. Week 21 Results 40 Bets | 18W-20L-02P | Staked 10.204u | -2.314u Loss.. Week 20 Results 54 Bets | 24W-25L-05P | Staked 12.806u | -0.376u Loss.. Week 19 Results 36 Bets | 16W-17L-03P | Staked 08.248u | -0.388u Loss.. Week 18 Results 34 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 09.184u | +2.006u Profit Week 17 Results 16 Bets | 06W-07L-03P | Staked 04.340u | -0.364u Loss.. Week 16 Results 34 Bets | 10W-22L-02P | Staked 08.852u | -2.430u Loss.. Week 15 Results 50 Bets | 37W-33L-14P | Staked 20.970u | +2.644u Profit Week 14 Results 50 Bets | 25W-18L-07P | Staked 13.498u | +3.146u Profit Week 13 Results 47 Bets | 20W-20L-07P | Staked 10.676u | +0.660u Profit Week 12 Results 61 Bets | 23W-31L-06P | Staked 14.378u | -1.700u Loss.. Week 11 Results 45 Bets | 22W-20L-03P | Staked 12.672u | +0.804u Profit Week 10 Results 44 Bets | 17W-20L-07P | Staked 11.058u | -1.140u Loss.. Week 09 Results 35 Bets | 17W-12L-06P | Staked 09.292u | +1.654u Profit Week 08 Results 58 Bets | 29W-24L-05P | Staked 15.844u | +5.014u Profit Week 07 Results 62 Bets | 36W-21L-05P | Staked 15.666u | +3.696u Profit Week 06 Results 43 Bets | 11W-28L-05P | Staked 12.086u | -3.610u Loss.. Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P | Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P | Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss.. Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P | Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P | Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss.. Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P | Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..

 Regular Season 2020-2021 Results 
11361 Bets | 619W-601L-142P | 354.431 Staked | +9.552u Profit | +2.70% ROI 


That's it again for this week, and there is one round left before the end of the regular season. I'm still not sure how to approach the playoffs yet. I'm hoping to be able to squeeze out one more profitable week.



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