A few days ago, the credit rating agency Moody's downgraded the credit rating of the United States from "Aaa" to "Aa1". Simply put, America is no longer considered the absolutely safest country to lend your money to. This news triggered immediate reactions: the dollar fell, stock futures declined, and once again, the market was shaken.
THE DOWNGRADE
So why would they do that?
The reason for the downgrade was the enormous public debt, the constantly rising government spending, and the high interest payments.
Moody’s stated that deficits will continue to grow and that by 2035, debt will reach 134% of GDP. They also noted that unless tax policy changes, 78% of government spending will go toward pensions, healthcare, and interest payments.
And this is where many investors start to worry. Because if the world’s strongest economy is receiving a lower credit rating, what does that mean for our investments? Is this the beginning of the end, or just a corrective move?
It sounds scary? Maybe. But let’s be honest... it wasn’t a surprise. The other two major credit rating agencies, S&P and Fitch, had already issued similar downgrades in previous years. So, what happened now was more or less expected. It was only a matter of time before Moody’s followed suit, especially after the spike in fiscal costs due to interest and social spending.
So what does this mean now?
Let’s clarify something first: Moody’s did not say that America is insolvent. On the contrary, it kept its overall outlook stable and emphasized that the U.S. still holds “extraordinary credit strengths”: a massive and diversified economy, a global reserve currency (the dollar), and an independent and effective Central Bank. These factors form a safety net that is hard to ignore.
That’s also why, despite the downgrade, the U.S. is still considered one of the safest options globally for investors and institutional players. Trust in the American economy remains strong because it’s based on real data—not just theory.
MARKETS
And how does all this affect the markets?
Often, events like this cause short-term turbulence. Investors get scared, sell off, and wait to see what happens. That’s why we saw markets dip, but eventually bouncing back.
And for the same reason, we saw the dollar dip in recent days.
But for long-term investors, this might be... an opportunity.
Why? Because when markets fall due to fear—not because of a fundamental shift—moments arise where we can buy at a “discount.” No one denies that U.S. public debt is huge. But no one is predicting that the U.S. will stop paying its obligations or that it will cease to be the driving force of the global economy.
Let’s remember what happened in similar periods in the past: every time the market panicked, those who kept investing consistently and with discipline came out ahead. Not immediately, but over time. Because the market rewards stability—not quick moves.
Posted Using INLEO
